Sophia Fx - Weekly Fundamentals

Weekly Fundamentals

📊 Weekly Market Outlook: Key Events & Economic Data (Feb 18 - Feb 21) 🚀

Welcome, traders! 🌍🔥 Get ready for another exciting week in the financial markets. Here’s a breakdown of the high-impact economic events that could move the markets this week! 📅💹

📅 Tuesday, Feb 18

🔹 🇦🇺 Australia (AUD) – RBA Interest Rate Decision 📉

Cash Rate: Expected 4.35% (Previous: 4.10%)
Impact: Watch for AUD volatility! The RBA’s Rate Statement will provide insights into future monetary policy.

🔹 🇬🇧 UK (GBP) – Job Market Update 📊

Claimant Count Change: Expected 10.0K (Previous: 0.7K)
Impact: Higher numbers indicate more unemployment claims, potentially weakening GBP.

🔹 🇨🇦 Canada (CAD) – Inflation Data 🔥

CPI m/m: Expected 0.0% (Previous: -0.4%)
Median CPI y/y: Expected 2.4%
Impact: A higher CPI could push the Bank of Canada (BOC) toward tighter monetary policy.

🔹 🇺🇸 USA (USD) – Trump Speaks 🎤

Impact: Market reaction depends on key policy statements and economic outlook.

📅 Wednesday, Feb 19

🔹 🇦🇺 Australia (AUD) – Wage Growth 📈

Wage Price Index q/q: Expected 0.8%
Impact: Wage growth affects inflation, influencing RBA’s interest rate decisions.

🔹 🇳🇿 New Zealand (NZD) – RBNZ Interest Rate Decision 🚨

Official Cash Rate: Expected 4.25% (Previous: 3.75%)
Impact: A surprise rate hike or dovish comments could move NZD pairs significantly!

🔹 🇬🇧 UK (GBP) – Inflation Report 🏦

CPI y/y: Expected 2.8% (Previous: 2.5%)
Impact: A higher CPI could strengthen GBP as the BOE may adopt a hawkish stance.

🔹 🇺🇸 USA (USD) – FOMC Meeting Minutes 📜

Impact: Clues about the Fed’s future rate path—expect volatility in USD pairs & indices!

📅 Thursday, Feb 20

🔹 🇦🇺 Australia (AUD) – Jobs Data 💼

Employment Change: Expected 19.7K (Previous: 56.3K)
Unemployment Rate: Expected 4.1% (Previous: 4.0%)
Impact: A weaker-than-expected report may cause AUD to fall.

🔹 🇺🇸 USA (USD) – Unemployment Claims 📊

Expected: 214K (Previous: 213K)
Impact: Any deviation from expectations could move USD pairs & stock indices.

📅 Friday, Feb 21

🔹 🇬🇧 UK (GBP) – Retail Sales 🛍️

Retail Sales m/m: Expected 0.3% (Previous: -0.3%)
Impact: A strong report may support GBP strength.

🔹 🇪🇺 Eurozone (EUR) – PMI Data 🏭

German Flash Manufacturing PMI: Expected 45.4 (Previous: 45.0)
French & UK PMIs also on watch!

🔹 🇨🇦 Canada (CAD) – Retail Sales 🏪

Core Retail Sales m/m: Expected 1.7% (Previous: -0.7%)
Impact: Positive data may push CAD higher.

🔹 🇺🇸 USA (USD) – PMI Data 📉

Flash Manufacturing PMI: Expected 51.2
Flash Services PMI: Expected 53.2
Impact: Key data for USD and Wall Street sentiment!

🔹 🇨🇦 Canada (CAD) – BOC Gov Macklem Speaks 🎙️

Impact: Watch for clues on Canada’s monetary policy stance!

🚀 How to Trade These Events?

✅ Be Prepared: Keep an eye on market sentiment before key releases.
✅ Manage Risk: Volatility can spike, so adjust lot sizes and use stop losses.
✅ Follow Price Action: Wait for confirmations before entering trades.

📢 Stay Updated! Follow this hub for real-time updates, analysis, and expert insights! 💡💰

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